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The current Legislative Council election outcomes got here as a impolite shock for the JD(S), with the regional occasion dropping floor within the previous Mysore area.
The outcomes additionally noticed the Congress regain an higher hand right here, placing the BJP in a tough spot, even because it hopes to make inroads within the area.
The previous Mysore area that includes some 60-odd constituencies is a vital bloc for any occasion in Karnataka to win elections and it was initially a Congress bastion the place the JD(S) established a powerful presence in current a long time.
Dominated by the Vokkaliga group, the area contains Mysuru, Mandya, Hassan, Ramanagara, Chamarajanagar, Chikkaballapur, Kolar and Kodagu districts, amongst others.
Additionally Learn | Council elections end result setback to JD(S): Kumaraswamy
A number of the tallest leaders of each Congress and JD(S), together with former chief ministers Siddaramaiah and H D Kumaraswamy, are from the area.
With simply over a 12 months left for the 2023 Meeting elections, the area is witnessing a shift in political dynamics.
Within the Council election outcomes this month, the JD(S) gained solely two seats in Hassan (Suraj Revanna) and Mysore-Chamarajanagar (C N Manje Gowda).
The regional occasion misplaced to Congress in its turf in Mandya. The Congress additionally gained in Kolar, Tumkur and the second seat in Mysore-Chamarajnagar, reasserting its energy within the area.
This was a blow to the JD(S), which has already misplaced appreciable seats on this area within the Chikkaballapur, Hunsur and Sira bypolls.
Within the 2019 Lok Sabha polls, JD(S) supremo H D Deve Gowda misplaced in Tumkur, whereas his grandson Nikhil Kumaraswamy misplaced in Mandya.
“The JD(S) have been kingmakers till now, a leverage which is being diluted. The area is now turning out to be a two-way combat between Congress and BJP,” factors out M J Vinod, professor of worldwide research, politics and historical past at Christ (deemed-to-be-university).
A variety of JD(S) MLAs from this area are anticipated to leap ship to Congress within the run-up to the 2023 polls.
The BJP is keenly watching the altering political panorama within the Previous Mysore area, the place the saffron occasion is constructing its base.
One BJP chief cautions towards writing off the clout of the JD(S).
“The MLC polls are manipulated. The occasion nonetheless has a powerful base on the grassroots stage,” he mentioned.
Congress hopes that the Vokkaliga issue will work in its favour.
“With KPCC president D Ok Shivakumar aspiring to be the CM, we’re seeing the group slowly coming collectively for his assist. Such a pattern was seen beforehand when Deve Gowda and S M Krishna grew to become the CMs,” one Congress insider says.
Plans are afoot within the occasion for additional organisational strengthening.
“Sales space-level rejuvenation would be the focus. Now we have additionally began a membership drive to succeed in 50 lakh members over three months,” says KPCC working president Saleem Ahmed.
The BJP, which desires to make a mark right here, could discipline former CM B S Yediyurappa’s son B Y Vijayendra from Varuna, a constituency at the moment represented by Siddaramaiah’s son Yathindra. The occasion has already made inroads right here by profitable Hassan and KR Pet Meeting seats.
What’s subsequent for the BJP? The occasion management desires to make the perfect use of the altering dynamics in previous Mysore by tying up with JD(S).
“The technique is to carry collectively Vokkaligas (who assist JD-S) and Lingayats (supporting BJP),” a senior BJP chief says.
BJP’s Hassan MLA Preetham Gowda factors out that the occasion must nurture native management if it has to realize a stronger presence within the area.
Whereas district incharge ministers who’re appointed from different districts can coordinate and handle the cadre, profitable an election requires native leaders who can join with the cadre on the grassroots stage, he opines.
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